NFL Playoff Odds 2024: Early Lines for Wild Card Games and Super Bowl

Joe TanseyJanuary 8, 2024

NFL Playoff Odds 2024: Early Lines for Wild Card Games and Super Bowl

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    INDIANAPOLIS, IN - JANUARY 06: Houston Texans Quarterback C.J. Stroud (7) scrambles during the NFL game between the Houston Texans and the Indianapolis Colts on January 6, 2024, at Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis, Indiana. (Photo by Michael Allio/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images)
    Michael Allio/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images

    The Buffalo Bills and Dallas Cowboys are the only favorites with a point spread of more than a touchdown for the NFL's wild-card weekend,

    Buffalo is the largest favorite on the wild-card board because of its home-field advantage in upstate New York and on-paper mismatch with the Pittsburgh Steelers.

    Buffalo is playing some of the best football in the NFL right now and Pittsburgh is struggling for consistency at quarterback position.

    Dallas, the other No. 2 seed, is a 7.5-point favorite over the Green Bay Packers inside its home stadium that has been a fortress all season long.

    The other four wild-card matchups feature spreads within a touchdown, and the road team is favored in two of those contests.

Super Bowl Odds

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    LANDOVER, MARYLAND - DECEMBER 31: Deebo Samuel #19 of the San Francisco 49ers warms up before the game against the Washington Commanders at FedExField on December 31, 2023 in Landover, Maryland. (Photo by G Fiume/Getty Images)
    G Fiume/Getty Images

    San Francisco (+220; bet $100 to win $220)

    Baltimore (+310)

    Buffalo (+650)

    Dallas (+800)

    Kansas City (+950)

    Philadelphia (+1500)

    Miami (+1600)

    Detroit (+1800)

    Houston (+3500)

    Cleveland (+3500)

    Los Angeles Rams (+5000)

    Tampa Bay (+5500)

    Green Bay (+9000)

    Pittsburgh (+15000)

NFC Wild Card Odds

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    EAST RUTHERFORD, NEW JERSEY - DECEMBER 31: Matthew Stafford #9 of the Los Angeles Rams reacts after a play during the first half against the New York Giants at MetLife Stadium on December 31, 2023 in East Rutherford, New Jersey. (Photo by Dustin Satloff/Getty Images)
    Dustin Satloff/Getty Images

    No. 7 Green Bay at No. 2 Dallas (-7) (Sunday, 4:30 p.m. ET)

    No. 6 Los Angeles Rams at No. 3 Detroit (-4) (Sunday, 8;15 p.m. ET)

    No. 5 Philadelphia (-2.5) at No. 4 Tampa Bay (Monday, 8 p.m. ET)

    The Dallas Cowboys and Detroit Lions are home favorites on wild-card weekend.

    The Cowboys have not lost at home all season and they scored over 30 points in seven of their eight games inside AT&T Stadium.

    Dallas' home-field advantage justifies its title as the highest listed point favorite of the four games on the wild-card board so far.

    Green Bay put together a solid run of wins to qualify for the playoffs, but Jordan Love faces a tough task in his first playoff start.

    Matthew Stafford's return to Detroit with the Los Angeles Rams will be one of the most discussed wild-card games.

    Stafford has an opportunity to ruin his former employer's first home playoff game in 30 years. The Rams could be a popular underdog, especially after the injury news involving Sam LaPorta.

    Detroit's rookie tight end is expected to miss some time with a hyperextended knee and a bone bruise he suffered on Sunday against the Minnesota Vikings, per NFL Network's Ian Rapoport.

    An incomplete Detroit offense could make the difference in a matchup where Stafford has Cooper Kupp and Puka Nacua at his disposal.

    The Eagles are the most questionable favorite in the four set wild-card games. They finished the regular season with a 1-5 record and have injury issues at wide receiver with A.J. Brown and DeVonta Smith.

    Tampa Bay's wide receiver duo of Mike Evans and Chris Godwin have the potential to torch an Eagles defense that can't stop anything at the moment.

    The Bucs should be one of the weekend's most popular underdogs because of Philadelphia's recent struggles.

AFC Wild Card Odds

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    CLEVELAND, OH - DECEMBER 28: Joe Flacco #15 of the Cleveland Browns drops back to pass during an NFL football game against the New York Jets at Cleveland Browns Stadium on December 28, 2023 in Cleveland, Ohio. (Photo by Cooper Neill/Getty Images)
    Cooper Neill/Getty Images

    No. 5 Cleveland (-2) at No. 4 Houston (Saturday, 4:30 p.m. ET)

    No. 6 Miami at No. 3 Kansas City (-3) (Saturday, 8 p.m. ET)

    No. 7 Pittsburgh at No. 2 Buffalo (-9.5) (Sunday 1 p.m. ET)

    Buffalo avoided a road game and a rematch with the Dolphins by winning on the road on Sunday night.

    Now the Bills have one of the most favorable paths to the conference championship game in their sights.

    Buffalo has not lost since Thanskgiving weekend and faces a Pittsburgh team that must make a quarterback decision between Mason Rudolph and Kenny Pickett.

    Pittsburgh was decent enough to defeat Baltimore's reserves on Saturday, but it will face a whole other challenge containing Josh Allen and the red-hot Bills in a road game.

    It would not be a surprise to see the Bills bet up over double digits because of that mismatch.

    Miami dropped into the worst matchup possible since it has to go on the road to Kansas City and play in freezing temperatures.

    Kansas City rested Patrick Mahomes, Travis Kelce and other key players in Week 18, while Miami had to play its healthy stars in the loss to Buffalo. Raheem Mostert and Jaylen Waddle did not play on Sunday, but are likely to participate in the wild-card round on Saturday night.

    The Chiefs beat the Dolphins in Germany earlier this season in a game in which the Dolphins scored just 14 points. The mid-season matchup could help sway bettors in favor of Kansas City.

    Cleveland is a deserved favorite after its 36-22 win in Houston in Week 16.

    C.J. Stroud's presence is the major difference between that contest and the wild-card meeting.

    Stroud and the Texans will be an intriguing underdog at home because of the rookie quarterback's performance in an elimination game on Saturday night against the Indianapolis Colts.

    The Stroud-Nico Collins duo can go pass-for-pass with Joe Flacco and Amari Cooper. The two dynamic combinations and the indoor conditions at NRG Stadium could produce the highest-scoring game of the weekend.

    Cleveland holds the edge in experience at quarterback with Flacco, the Super Bowl winner who unexpectedly rescued the Browns' season.

    The Myles Garrett-led Cleveland defense has the potential to slow down Stroud, but it is hard to imagine the first-year signal-caller will be silenced for four quarters given his performance on Saturday.

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