NFL Draft 2024: Examining Predictions for Top QBs in Latest Expert Mocks

Jake RillApril 13, 2024

NFL Draft 2024: Examining Predictions for Top QBs in Latest Expert Mocks

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    LOS ANGELES, CA - MARCH 20: USC Trojans quarterback Caleb Williams performs drills in front of NFL scouts during the USC Pro Day on March 20, 2024 at Loker Stadium in Los Angeles, CA. (Photo by Jordon Kelly/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images)
    Jordon Kelly/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images

    Some years, not many quarterbacks get taken in the first round of the NFL draft. For example, 2022, when only Kenny Pickett was the only QB selected within the first 32 picks, going to the Pittsburgh Steelers at No. 20.

    There will surely be multiple quarterbacks getting taken on the opening night of the 2024 draft, which is set for April 25-27 in Detroit. There could even be multiple QBs selected consecutively to begin the event.

    Here's a look at where some recent mocks have been projecting the top quarterbacks in the class to get taken in the 2024 draft.

Caleb Williams, USC

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    Los Angeles, California March 20, 2024-USC quarterback Caleb Williams smiles during USC Pro Day in Los Angeles Wednesday. (Wally Skalij/Los Angeles Times via Getty Images)
    Wally Skalij/Los Angeles Times via Getty Images

    ESPN's Mel Kiper Jr.: No. 1 to Chicago Bears

    ESPN's Matt Miller and Jordan Reid: No. 1 to Chicago Bears

    The Athletic's Bruce Feldman: No. 1 to Chicago Bears

    The Athletic's Nick Baumgardner: No. 1 to Chicago Bears

    NFL Network's Rhett Lewis: No. 1 to Chicago Bears

    NFL.com's Lance Zierlein: No. 1 to Chicago Bears

    No surprise here. It was widely assumed the Bears would take Williams at No. 1 since the end of the season, and it became all but a certainty when they traded Justin Fields to the Pittsburgh Steelers last month.

    Williams will be the new franchise quarterback in Chicago and will try to help turn the team around. The Bears haven't made the playoffs since the 2020 season, and they haven't finished with a winning record since the 2018 campaign.

    "I don't think we need to spend much time debating the direction the Bears will go here," Kiper wrote.

Drake Maye, North Carolina

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    INDIANAPOLIS, INDIANA - MARCH 2: Drake Maye #QB04 of North Carolina watches drills during the NFL Scouting Combine at Lucas Oil Stadium on March 2, 2024 in Indianapolis, Indiana. (Photo by Kara Durrette/Getty Images)
    Kara Durrette/Getty Images

    ESPN's Mel Kiper Jr.: No. 3 to New England Patriots

    ESPN's Matt Miller and Jordan Reid: No. 3 to New England Patriots

    The Athletic's Bruce Feldman: No. 3 to New England Patriots

    The Athletic's Nick Baumgardner: No. 2 to Washington Commanders

    NFL Network's Rhett Lewis: No. 2 to Washington Commanders

    NFL.com's Lance Zierlein: No. 3 to New York Giants (via trade with New England)

    Recent mocks have been mostly split in regard to where Maye will land. Some have him going No. 2 to Washington, while others have him making it to New England at No. 3.

    Of course, it's also possible Maye doesn't go to the Commanders and then the Patriots still decide not to take the former North Carolina QB.

    "Will the Patriots trade back or stay put to select a QB?" Reid wrote. "That's the biggest question for New England and why many view this as the most intriguing pick of the first round."

    If the Pats trade down, a team like the Giants could trade up. Would New York view Maye as a long-term upgrade to Daniel Jones at quarterback? Zierlein seems to think so, as his mock has the Giants moving up to take the former Tar Heel.

Jayden Daniels, LSU

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    INDIANAPOLIS, INDIANA - MARCH 1: Jayden Daniels #QB01 of Louisiana State speaks to the media during the NFL Combine at the Indiana Convention Center on March 1, 2024 in Indianapolis, Indiana. (Photo by Kevin Sabitus/Getty Images)
    Kevin Sabitus/Getty Images

    ESPN's Mel Kiper Jr.: No. 2 to Washington Commanders

    ESPN's Matt Miller and Jordan Reid: No. 2 to Washington Commanders

    The Athletic's Bruce Feldman: No. 2 to Washington Commanders

    The Athletic's Nick Baumgardner: No. 3 to New England Patriots

    NFL Network's Rhett Lewis: No. 3 to New England Patriots

    NFL.com's Lance Zierlein: No. 2 to Washington Commanders

    Most mocks seem to believe Daniels will either go to Washington at No. 2 or drop one pick later to New England at No. 3. There doesn't appear to be a ton of belief that the reigning Heisman Trophy winner will fall any further down the board.

    Zierlein thinks the Commanders could go for a mobile quarterback for an offense that will now be led by offensive coordinator Kliff Kingsbury, the former Cardinals head coach.

    "I see the Commanders giving their new OC another dual-threat quarterback in Daniels," Zierlein wrote.

    At this point, though, it's still too early to tell which way Washington could be leaning and whether New England could be in play for Daniels.

J.J. McCarthy, Michigan

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    INDIANAPOLIS, INDIANA - MARCH 01: JJ McCarthy #QB05 of the Michigan Wolverines speaks to the media during the 2024 NFL Draft Combine at Lucas Oil Stadium on March 01, 2024 in Indianapolis, Indiana. (Photo by Michael Hickey/Getty Images)
    Michael Hickey/Getty Images

    ESPN's Mel Kiper Jr.: No. 5 to Minnesota Vikings (via trade with Los Angeles Chargers)

    ESPN's Matt Miller and Jordan Reid: No. 4 to Minnesota Vikings (via trade with Arizona Cardinals)

    The Athletic's Bruce Feldman: No. 4 to Minnesota Vikings (via trade with Arizona)

    The Athletic's Nick Baumgardner: No. 4 to Minnesota Vikings (via trade with Arizona)

    NFL Network's Rhett Lewis: No. 10 to Denver Broncos (via trade with New York Jets)

    NFL.com's Lance Zierlein: No. 4 to Minnesota Vikings (via trade with Arizona)

    While most mocks have Williams going at No. 1 and then Daniels and Maye coming off the board with the next two picks (in some order), many believe the draft could start with four consecutive QBs getting taken. And the Vikings could be the team to make that happen.

    Minnesota needs a quarterback after Kirk Cousins signed with the Atlanta Falcons in free agency. The Vikings could use a young QB to build around, as their current top player at the position is offseason acquisition Sam Darnold.

    McCarthy has climbed up the draft boards in recent months. Perhaps he'll be heading to Minnesota, if the team can swing a trade that puts it in position to land the former Michigan quarterback.

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