Ranking Vladimir Guerrero Jr. and Top 10 Hitters on the Summer MLB Trade Market

Joel ReuterJune 14, 2024

Ranking Vladimir Guerrero Jr. and Top 10 Hitters on the Summer MLB Trade Market

0 of 11

    MILWAUKEE, WI - JUNE 12: Toronto Blue Jays first baseman Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (27) looks on before pinch hitting in the ninth inning during an MLB game against the Milwaukee Brewers on June 12, 2024 at American Family Field in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. (Photo by Joe Robbins/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images)
    Joe Robbins/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images

    Starting pitching was the story at the MLB trade deadline last year, with Max Scherzer, Justin Verlander, Jordan Montgomery, Lucas Giolito, Lance Lynn, Michael Lorenzen and Jack Flaherty all finding new homes for the stretch run.

    This year, the big storyline could be impact bats.

    Will the Toronto Blue Jays legitimately shop Vladimir Guerrero Jr. and Bo Bichette? Will the Chicago White Sox take their fire sale to the level of moving Luis Robert Jr.? Will the New York Mets move homegrown star Pete Alonso ahead of free agency?

    Ahead we've highlighted the top 10 hitters expected to be available on the summer trade market, focusing on players who have at least a 50/50 shot of being dealt ahead of the deadline.

    Let the rumors swirl!

Honorable Mentions

1 of 11

    Josh Bell
    Josh BellDuane Burleson/Getty Images

    These hitters did not quite crack our top 10, but they could all be on the move to contenders this summer:

    OF Miguel Andújar, OAK
    OF Harrison Bader, NYM
    1B Josh Bell, MIA
    OF Dylan Carlson, STL
    OF Bryan De La Cruz, MIA
    SS Paul DeJong, CWS
    OF Eloy Jiménez, CWS
    OF Jake McCarthy, ARI
    OF Tommy Pham, CWS
    2B Brendan Rodgers, COL
    3B Nick Senzel, WAS
    C Jacob Stallings, COL
    OF Lane Thomas, WAS
    OF Jesse Winker, WAS


    There is less than a 50/50 chance these guys are traded, but worth keeping an eye on:

    OF Randy Arozarena, TB
    3B Alex Bregman, HOU
    1B Yandy Díaz, TB
    1B Paul Goldschmidt, STL
    3B Ryan McMahon, COL
    3B Isaac Paredes, TB
    OF Kyle Tucker, HOU

10. 2B/3B Luis Rengifo, Los Angeles Angels

2 of 11

    CLEVELAND, OH - MAY 03: Luis Rengifo #2 of the Los Angeles Angels bats against the Cleveland Guardians during the first inning at Progressive Field on May 03, 2024 in Cleveland, Ohio. (Photo by Ron Schwane/Getty Images)
    Ron Schwane/Getty Images

    Stats: 199 PA, 127 OPS+, .315/.364/.440, 14 XBH (4 HR), 19 RBI, 17 SB, 1.1 WAR

    Infielder Luis Rengifo has quietly developed into a consistent offensive performer for the Los Angeles Angels over the past few seasons.

    The 27-year-old put up strong offensive numbers in 2022 (102 OPS+, 17 HR, 52 RBI) and 2023 (111 OPS+, 16 HR, 51 RBI), and he brings the added value of defensive versatility across the infield with significant experience at second base, shortstop and third base.

    He has a reasonable $4.4 million salary in 2024, and he comes with one additional year of club control next year, so he would be more than just a rental option for teams looking for an upgrade on the infield.

9. C Elías Díaz, Colorado Rockies

3 of 11

    ST. LOUIS, MO - JUNE 07: Colorado Rockies catcher Elias Diaz (35) singles in the fourth inning during the Colorado Rockies at St. Louis Cardinals MLB game on June 07, 2024, at Busch Stadium, St. Louis, MO.  (Photo by Keith Gillett/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images)
    Keith Gillett/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images

    Stats: 216 PA, 117 OPS+, .303/.352/.439, 17 XBH (5 HR), 28 RBI, 1.3 WAR

    Elias Díaz had a terrific first half of the 2023 season, earning a spot on the NL All-Star team and winning All-Star MVP honors on the strength of a two-run home run off Baltimore Orioles closer Félix Bautista.

    However, he slumped after the break, hitting .255/.299/.375 with 15 extra-base hits in 221 plate appearances the rest of the way. Now playing in the final season of a three-year, $14.5 million deal, he is off to the best start of his career.

    The market is extremely thin on catching, with free-agent-to-be Danny Jansen from the Toronto Blue Jays and Díaz's backup in Colorado Jacob Stallings the other notable names that could be on the move.

8. DH J.D. Martinez, New York Mets

4 of 11

    LONDON, ENGLAND - JUNE 09:   J.D. Martinez #28 of the New York Mets takes batting practice prior to the 2024 London Series game between the New York Mets and the Philadelphia Phillies at London Stadium on Sunday, June 9, 2024 in London, England. (Photo by Mary DeCicco/MLB Photos via Getty Images)
    Mary DeCicco/MLB Photos via Getty Images

    Stats: 165 PA, 120 OPS+, .265/.323/.430, 14 XBH (5 HR), 19 RBI, 0.5 WAR

    The New York Mets are paying a 110 percent tax on every dollar of the one-year, $12 million deal that J.D. Martinez signed in late March due to where their payroll stands relative to the luxury-tax threshold, so that alone will be plenty of motivation for them to flip the veteran slugger.

    The 36-year-old enjoyed a resurgent season with the Los Angeles Dodgers in 2023, posting a 134 OPS+ with 33 home runs and 103 RBI while earning his sixth career All-Star selection, but his age and DH-only profile limited his market.

    His strong postseason track record makes him an even more appealing trade target for contenders, as he has hit .294/.386/.588 with 10 home runs and 31 RBI in 33 career playoff games.

7. OF Taylor Ward, Los Angeles Angels

5 of 11

    ANAHEIM, CALIFORNIA - MAY 25: Taylor Ward #3 of the Los Angeles Angels looks on after hitting a three run home run during the third inning against the Cleveland Guardians at Angel Stadium of Anaheim on May 25, 2024 in Anaheim, California. (Photo by Katelyn Mulcahy/Getty Images)
    Katelyn Mulcahy/Getty Images

    Stats: 275 PA, 119 OPS+, .253/.331/.452, 24 XBH (12 HR), 36 RBI, 1.4 WAR

    Taylor Ward was a first-round pick out of Fresno State as a catcher back in 2015, but he didn't become a regular in the big leagues until his age-28 season in 2022 when he hit .281/.360/.473 with 23 home runs and 65 RBI.

    A hit-by-pitch to the head last season resulted in facial fractures and limited him to 97 games, but he has returned strong this season as one of the few consistently productive players in the Los Angeles Angels lineup.

    The 30-year-old is arbitration-eligible through the 2026 season, so there is no pressing need to deal him this summer, but the Angels look like a prime candidate to sell off what they can and start over from scratch.

6. CF Jazz Chisholm Jr., Miami Marlins

6 of 11

    MIAMI, FLORIDA - JUNE 02: Jazz Chisholm Jr. #2 of the Miami Marlins at bat against the Texas Rangers during the second inning of the game at loanDepot park on June 02, 2024 in Miami, Florida. (Photo by Megan Briggs/Getty Images)
    Megan Briggs/Getty Images

    Stats: 277 PA, 108 OPS+, .250/.318/.425, 23 XBH (9 HR), 32 RBI, 12 SB, 1.0 WAR

    Since bursting onto the scene with an 18-homer, 23-steal, 2.5-WAR rookie season in 2021, Jazz Chisholm Jr. has had a tough time staying healthy, playing in just 157 combined games in 2022 and 2023.

    However, when he has managed to take the field he has consistently been one of the most exciting power-speed threats in the game. Over the course of his career, he has averaged 27 home runs, 82 RBI, 31 steals and 3.0 WAR per 162 games played.

    The 26-year-old is the closest thing the Miami Marlins have to a face of the franchise right now, but the early deal that sent Luis Arraez to the San Diego Padres was a clear signal they are open for business.

    The asking price will be high since he's under club control through the 2026 season, but don't be surprised if someone is willing to pay it for the potential to buy low on a superstar-caliber talent.

5. DH Brent Rooker, Oakland Athletics

7 of 11

    HOUSTON, TEXAS - MAY 16: Brent Rooker #25 of the Oakland Athletics bats against the Houston Astros at Minute Maid Park on May 16, 2024 in Houston, Texas. (Photo by Logan Riely/Getty Images)
    Logan Riely/Getty Images

    Stats: 231 PA, 151 OPS+, .263/.346/.522, 26 XBH (13 HR), 40 RBI, 1.6 WAR

    After failing to carve out a role with the Minnesota Twins and turning in brief stints with the San Diego Padres and Kansas City Royals, slugger Brent Rooker finally found a home with the Oakland Athletics last year.

    He posted a 127 OPS+ with 20 doubles, 30 home runs and 69 RBI in 137 games, serving as the team's lone All-Star representative and one of the few bright spots in the midst of a 112-loss season.

    Any thoughts of that performance being a one-hit wonder situation have quickly been erased by his hot start this year, and while it might seem counterproductive for a rebuilding team to trade away a player who is under control through 2027, this is the Oakland A's we're talking about.

    The 29-year-old Rooker will be arbitration-eligible for the first time next year, which means a healthy raise over the $750,000 he is earning this year. That alone will be reason enough for him to be shopped.

4. SS Bo Bichette, Toronto Blue Jays

8 of 11

    MILWAUKEE, WISCONSIN - JUNE 10: Bo Bichette #11 of the Toronto Blue Jays up to bat against the Milwaukee Brewers at American Family Field on June 10, 2024 in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. (Photo by John Fisher/Getty Images)
    John Fisher/Getty Images

    Stats: 272 PA, 82 OPS+, .240/.287/.346, 18 XBH (4 HR), 28 RBI, -0.1 WAR

    Those are not good numbers for Bo Bichette to start the season, but any team targeting him on the trade market this summer will be hoping to get the player he's been the past several seasons for the Toronto Blue Jays.

    During the three-year stretch from the start of the 2021 season through the end of last year, he hit .298/.339/.476 for a 124 OPS+ while averaging 185 hits, 34 doubles, 24 home runs, 89 RBI, 94 runs scored and 4.8 WAR per season.

    Despite his middling surface-level numbers, his .275 expected batting average and a 45.2 percent hard-hit rate that is actually a slight improvement over last year speak to some positive regression to come.

    The 26-year-old is in the second season of a three-year, $33.6 million deal that will carry him to free agency for the first time.

3. 1B Pete Alonso, New York Mets

9 of 11

    NEW YORK, NEW YORK - MAY 28: (NEW YORK DAILIES OUT)  Pete Alonso #20 of the New York Mets in action against the Los Angeles Dodgers at Citi Field on May 28, 2024 in New York City.  The Dodgers defeated the Mets 5-2 in ten innings. (Photo by Jim McIsaac/Getty Images)
    Jim McIsaac/Getty Images

    Stats: 286 PA, 126 OPS+, .235/.315/.463, 30 XBH (14 HR), 32 RBI, 0.9 WAR

    Since breaking into the league with a record-setting 53 home runs as a rookie in 2019, Pete Alonso has been baseball's most prolific slugger:

    • Pete Alonso: 206 HR
    • Aaron Judge: 199 HR
    • Matt Olson: 187 HR
    • Kyle Schwarber: 187 HR
    • Shohei Ohtani: 166 HR

    The 29-year-old has turned in back-to-back 40-homer seasons, and while he doesn't provide much value outside of his power production, he will be the market's top rental bat by a wide margin if he is indeed made available.

    With free agency looming, the Mets could look to flip him for prospects and then pursue re-signing him during the offseason, similar to what the New York Yankees did when they traded Aroldis Chapman to the Chicago Cubs in 2016.

2. OF Luis Robert Jr., Chicago White Sox

10 of 11

    SEATTLE, WASHINGTON - JUNE 12: Luis Robert Jr. #88 of the Chicago White Sox celebrates his home run during the ninth inning against the Seattle Mariners at T-Mobile Park on June 12, 2024 in Seattle, Washington. (Photo by Steph Chambers/Getty Images)
    Steph Chambers/Getty Images

    Stats: 60 PA, 122 OPS+, .196/.250/.554, 8 XBH (6 HR), 9 RBI, 0.1 WAR

    The 2024 Chicago White Sox are on pace for 122 losses and shaping up to be one of the worst teams in baseball history, and there is no one on the roster who will be deemed untouchable at the deadline.

    The team's most valuable trade chip is undoubtedly outfielder Luis Robert Jr., and his team-friendly long-term contract only adds to his value.

    The 26-year-old is making $12.5 million this season and has a $15 million salary for 2025, to go along with a pair of $20 million club options for 2026 and 2027 that could make him controllable through his age-29 season.

    Injuries have been an issue for Robert throughout his career, but he showed what he can do in a fully healthy season last year when he posted a 129 OPS+ with 36 doubles, 38 home runs, 80 RBI, 20 steals and 5.0 WAR in 145 games.

    He has four home runs in eight games since returning from a right hip injury on June 4.

1. 1B Vladimir Guerrero Jr., Toronto Blue Jays

11 of 11

    MILWAUKEE, WISCONSIN - JUNE 12: Vladimir Guerrero Jr. #27 of the Toronto Blue Jays bats in the top of the ninth inning against the Milwaukee Brewers at American Family Field on June 12, 2024 in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. (Photo by Patrick McDermott/Getty Images)
    Patrick McDermott/Getty Images

    Stats: 297 PA, 125 OPS+, .281/.370/.408, 19 XBH (7 HR), 30 RBI, 1.6 WAR

    Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has never quite matched the MVP-caliber season he put together in 2021 when he hit .311/.401/.601 with 48 home runs and 111 RBI, but he has still been an All-Star in each of the past three seasons.

    The 25-year-old is earning $19.9 million this year and has one year of arbitration eligibility remaining in 2025, so trading him would represent a major retooling pivot for the Toronto Blue Jays in the coming years.

    Digging into Guerrero's batted-ball metrics, he ranks among the MLB leaders in expected batting average (93rd percentile), average exit velocity (98th percentile) and hard-hit rate (99th percentile), which speaks to his potential to be a true impact addition.

    The asking price will be extremely high given his remaining control and status as a face of the franchise type player, but don't be surprised if the Blue Jays shake up the trade market with a fire sale.

X