Ravens vs. Chiefs: Updated Odds, Money Line, Spread, Props to Watch for TNF
September 5, 2024Ravens vs. Chiefs: Updated Odds, Money Line, Spread, Props to Watch for TNF
The NFL returns on Thursday night with a blockbuster AFC matchup in Kansas City.
The Kansas City Chiefs begin their quest for a three-peat against the Baltimore Ravens at Arrowhead Stadium.
Kansas City is, unsurprisingly, a three-point favorite at home to open the season. The Chiefs will be favored in a majority of their contests in 2024.
Most of the recent battles between the perennial AFC contenders have produced a large amount of points. Each team reached the 20-point mark in four of their last five head-to-head matchups.
Another high-scoring game could lead to some big player prop cashes from Travis Kelce, Mark Andrews and other stars who connect with Patrick Mahomes and Lamar Jackson on a regular basis.
Updated Odds
Spread: Kansas City (-3)
Over/Under: 47
Money Line: Kansas City (-155; bet $155 to win $100); Baltimore (+130; bet $100 to win $130)
Kansas City has won four of the last five meetings with Baltimore dating back to 2018.
Four of those contests cleared the 47-point mark, which is a great sign for the over to hit in the first game of the NFL season.
A year ago, both teams had excellent records against the spread. Kansas City was 13-7-1, while Baltimore went 12-7.
Both teams hit more under bets last season. The Ravens were 8-10-1 to the over, while Kansas City was 7-14 to the over.
Baltimore Props to Watch
Zay Flowers Over/Under 52.5 Receiving Yards
Zay Flowers finished his rookie campaign with a five-catch, 115-yard performance against Kansas City in the AFC Championship Game.
His success against the Kansas City secondary should be noted for everyone betting the player prop market on Thursday.
Flowers emerged as Lamar Jackson's top wide receiver throughout the 2023 season, and he should carry even more responsibility in 2024.
The 23-year-old went over 52.5 receiving yards nine times in the regular season and in the AFC title matchup.
Derrick Henry Over/Under 63.5 Rushing Yards
A lot of attention will be paid to how Derrick Henry fits inside the Baltimore offense.
The 30-year-old is the primary tailback, but he will share some of the rushing splits with Jackson.
Henry put together a mixed bag of results in recent openers with the Tennessee Titans. He averaged 71.5 yards in his last six openers. He had a single 100-yard performance and two games with less than 60 rushing yards.
The four-time Pro Bowler does have three 100-yard performances against the Chiefs in his career, so it could be worth exploring his rushing-yard prop based on that past success.
Kansas City Props to Watch
Travis Kelce Over/Under 57.5 Receiving Yards
Travis Kelce is always the first pass-catcher you look at for props on the Kansas City roster.
The always-reliable tight end has a receiving-yard prop that is on the low end compared to where it could sit by the end of the regular season.
Kelce eclipsed the 70-yard mark in three of the last four openers he played in for the Chiefs. He's had at least 70 receiving yards in each of the four regular-season games he played in against the Ravens.
Additionally, the 34-year-old recorded 11 catches for 116 yards in the AFC Championship win over Baltimore last season.
Isiah Pacheco Over/Under 59.5 Rushing Yards
The rest of the Kansas City offense is a bit more difficult to figure out.
Isiah Pacheco could run into some difficulties against the Baltimore front seven. He struggled to gain yards in the AFC Championship. He had 24 carries for 68 yards, which equates to 2.83 yards per attempt.
The 25-year-old had more than 60 rushing yards eight times in the 2023 regular season, so betting the over on his rushing-yard prop is a bit more risky.
The presence of Samaje Perine in the backfield could hurt Pacheco's playing time, but it probably won't cut into his rushing attempts.
Perine will likely play more in the Jerick McKinnon pass-catching role from the last few seasons.
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