UFC 307 Fight Card: PPV Schedule, Odds and Predictions for Pereira vs. Rountree Jr.

UFC 307 comes to Salt Lake City, Utah with Alex Pereira and Khalil Rountree Jr. closing out a show that features two title fights, Olympic gold medalist Kayla Harrison and featherweight legend Jose Aldo on the main card.

Pereira is quickly establishing himself as one of the biggest stars in the sport today. Rountree will look to pull off the upset, but Poatan continues to pile up an impressive resume of knockouts.

Raquel Pennington will look to further establish herself as the champion of the bantamweight division. She's back for her first official title defense after claiming the vacant title with a decision win over Mayra Bueno Silva back in January.

Kayla Harrison will look to continue her rise from Olympic judoka to PFL champion to UFC star in a matchup with Ketlen Vieira. Jose Aldo will look to set up a title shot with a win over Mario Bautista.

Here's a look at the complete card with odds and a closer look at the two championship fights that anchor the card.

Tickets: Vivid Seats

Main Card (ESPN+ PPV, 10 p.m. ET)

• Champ Alex Pereira (-455) vs. Khalil Rountree (+350) – for light heavyweight title
• Champ Raquel Pennington (-162) vs. Julianna Peña (+136) – for women's bantamweight title
• Jose Aldo (+120) vs. Mario Bautista (-142)
• Kayla Harrison (-1200) vs. Ketlen Vieira (+750)
• Roman Dolidze (+136) vs. Kevin Holland (-162)

Prelims (ESPNews/ESPN+, 8 p.m. ET)

• Joaquin Buckley (-225) vs. Stephen Thompson (+185)
• Iasmin Lucindo (-185) vs. Marina Rodriguez (+154)
• Cesar Almeida (-375) vs. Ihor Potieria (+295)
• Alexander Hernandez (-130) vs. Austin Hubbard (+110)

Early Prelims (ESPN+, 6:30 p.m. ET)

• Ovince Saint Preux (+200) vs. Ryan Spann (-245)
• Carla Esparza (+150) vs. Tecia Pennington (-180)
• Court McGee (+154) vs. Tim Means (-185)

Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook

The champion is coming into this matchup as a fairly heavy favorite, but it's a fun matchup nonetheless.

Khalil Rountree Jr. is one of the most explosive strikers in the division. He's a good athlete who can cover ground quickly. He's also shown devastating power with both his hands and his feet.

There is a clear skill gap here. Rountree is explosive and obviously has power, but he doesn't have the kickboxing credentials or wins over elite oppponents that Pereira has. However, he's an ultra aggressive striker who is going to make things interesting and potentially create opportunities for himself.

The problem is that any opportunities created by his willingness to throwdown are also going to be opportunities for him to get countered.

Rountree got to this point by racking up TKO wins over Modestas Bukasuskas, Karl Roberson, Chris Daukaus and Anthony Smith. It's hard to quantify just how big of a step up this is in competition.

Poatan is a ruthless tactician who is going to find a way to land his trademark left hook among other powerful strikes. Maybe Rountree is able to turn this into a less refined slugfest, but the result is probably the same regardless.

This one isn't going to the distance and it's unlikely that Poatan gets knocked out.

Prediction: Pereira via second-round TKO

Raquel Pennington gets her first chance to shine as a champion, but she will undoubtedly be dealing with the shadow cast by Kayla Harrison. The latter will fight earlier in the evening and a win from the Olympian would likely set up a title shot.

If Pennington wants to be the one who is in the title fight opposite Harrison then she has to take care of business against Julianna Peña.

It's hard to know what we're going to see from Peña. She pulled off one of the biggest upsets in women's MMA when she submitted Amanda Nunes in December 2021, however, she was soundly beaten in the rematch and hasn't fought since.

That was in July 2022. More than two years later she's jumping right back into the title picture.

The good news for her is that Pennington isn't Nunes. Rocky is an educated striker with a clean boxing game and enough wrestling to hold her own on the mat.

However, Peña is the more unpredictable striker and has a good wrestling game in her own right. Her strength in the clinch and willingness to close the distance to create striking exchanges could be x-factors in a tight fight.

Prediction: Pena via decision