Eight Key Stats to Summarize the 2024 NFL Season Thus Far

Brad Gagnon@@Brad_GagnonX.com LogoFeatured Columnist IVDecember 25, 2024

Eight Key Stats to Summarize the 2024 NFL Season Thus Far

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    KANSAS CITY, MO - SEPTEMBER 15: Patrick Mahomes #15 of the Kansas City Chiefs talks with head coach Andy Reid prior to an NFL football game against the Cincinnati Bengals at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium on September 15, 2024 in Kansas City, Missouri. (Photo by Kevin Sabitus/Getty Images)
    Kevin Sabitus/Getty Images

    Welcome to another NFL Christmas, this time featuring the commencement of a Week 17 that includes two tantalizing holiday games.

    One of our gifts to you in that spirit? Numbers!

    Here are eight statistics (as well as some bonuses along the way) that help sum up what's been a wildly entertaining 2024 campaign to date.

11-0

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    KANSAS CITY, MO - DECEMBER 08: Kansas City Chiefs head coach Andy Reid looks on from the sideline prior to an NFL football game against the Los Angeles Chargers at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium on December 8, 2024 in Kansas City, Missouri. (Photo by Cooper Neill/Getty Images)
    Cooper Neill/Getty Images

    That's the Kansas City Chiefs' record in one-score games. The 14-1 Chiefs have won by more than 10 points just twice this season, and four of their wins have come by either one or two points.

    Eight teams—including the 10-5 Commanders and 9-6 Broncos—have superior scoring margins than Kansas City (plus-78).

    This despite the fact they've had the eighth-easiest schedule to date, according to ESPN's Power Index.

    Is this sustainable? We'll soon find out. Regardless, it explains why Kansas City remains a prime contender despite so many flaws and vulnerabilities.

43.9

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    KANSAS CITY, MISSOURI - DECEMBER 21: Patrick Mahomes #15 of the Kansas City Chiefs waits on the field during an injury timeout in the third quarter against the Houston Texans at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium on December 21, 2024 in Kansas City, Missouri. (Photo by David Eulitt/Getty Images)
    David Eulitt/Getty Images

    That's Patrick Mahomes' passer rating on throws that have traveled at least 15 yards, which ranks dead-last among 34 quarterbacks who have attempted at least 35 such passes this year.

    The legendary quarterback has just three touchdown passes to six interceptions on said attempts, and his 33.1 completion rate in those situations places him between Caleb Williams (33.3) and Anthony Richardson (30.1).

    Again, can Mahomes and the Chiefs be trusted?

113.8

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    SEATTLE, WASHINGTON - DECEMBER 22: Sam Darnold #14 of the Minnesota Vikings warms up before the game against the Seattle Seahawks at Lumen Field on December 22, 2024 in Seattle, Washington. (Photo by Steph Chambers/Getty Images)
    Steph Chambers/Getty Images

    That's Minnesota Vikings quarterback Sam Darnold's passer rating in the fourth quarter/overtime of one-score games, which is the second-best total in the league among 30 quarterbacks who have thrown at least 35 passes under those circumstances this season.

    Darnold may be one of just three quarterbacks who have been responsible for more than 20 turnover-worthy plays, according to Pro Football Focus, but he's been good in key moments over and over again. He also leads the NFL in completed air yards per attempt.

    That combined with plenty of support on both offense (Justin Jefferson and Jordan Addison both rank top-25 in yards per target) and defense (the Vikes lead the NFC with 30 takeaways) makes it easy to understand why Minnesota remains well in contention at 13-2.

68.2

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    EAST RUTHERFORD, NEW JERSEY - DECEMBER 22: Aaron Rodgers #8 of the New York Jets reacts after being sacked and fumbling the ball during the fourth quarter against the Los Angeles Rams at MetLife Stadium on December 22, 2024 in East Rutherford, New Jersey. (Photo by Emilee Chinn/Getty Images)
    Emilee Chinn/Getty Images

    That's Aaron Rodgers' on-target rate, which ranks ahead of just Anthony Richardson among 34 qualified passers this year. So while the 41-year-old's receivers have indeed dropped plenty of passes (29 to be exact, which is the third-highest total in the league), the fact is Rodgers sure looks toast regardless.

    He's still had some throwback moments, but they've been few and far between and the inconsistency has been glaring for a guy who has not posted a passer rating between 92 and 98 all season. The league average is 92, and Rodgers has posted a sub-92 rating seven times and a 98-plus rating eight times.

67.3 percent

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    CINCINNATI, OH - DECEMBER 01: Pittsburgh Steelers running back Najee Harris (22) carries the ball for a touchdown during the game against the Pittsburgh Steelers and the Cincinnati Bengals on December 1, 2024, at Paycor Stadium in Cincinnati, OH. (Photo by Ian Johnson/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images)
    Ian Johnson/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images

    That's how often teams have scored touchdowns when they've reached the red zone against the Cincinnati Bengals, who are currently out of a playoff position despite the fact they're the league's sixth-highest-scoring team under the tutelage of superstar quarterback Joe Burrow.

    The rate of 67.3 is the worst mark in the AFC.

    That in combination with the league's seventh-worst third-down stop rate (56.8 percent) helps explain why Cincinnati has lacked so much in the win column even while the offense has excelled and the defense has otherwise often been OK.

    That D actually ranks in the top 12 with 23 takeaways and a sack rate of 23.4 percent. But they can't get off the field, ranking 28th in the league with 2.31 points allowed per drive.

    That's a game-changer when you go 2-7 in one-score games in a highly-competitive division and conference.

10-25

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    ATLANTA, GEORGIA - DECEMBER 22: Michael Penix Jr. #9 and Kirk Cousins #18 of the Atlanta Falcons look on from the sideline during the fourth quarter against the New York Giants at Mercedes-Benz Stadium on December 22, 2024 in Atlanta, Georgia. (Photo by Kevin C. Cox/Getty Images)
    Kevin C. Cox/Getty Images

    Here's where we identify some pretenders.

    The record above is the combined win-loss total this season for the Falcons, Broncos, Texans, Chargers and Commanders against opponents that currently have winning records.

    Atlanta is 3-6 against winning teams and 5-1 against losing teams, Denver is 2-6 against winning teams and 7-0 against losing teams, Houston is 1-4 against winning teams and 8-2 against losing teams, Los Angeles is 3-5 against winning teams and 6-1 against losing teams, and Washington is 1-4 against winning teams and 9-1 against losing teams.

    Some related facts:

    • The 3-12 Browns have beaten more teams with winning records than the Texans or Commanders 
    • 90 percent of Washington's wins have come against losing teams (its only victory against a winning opponent came in a five-turnover Week 16 effort against Philadelphia)
    • The Broncos, Commanders and Chargers have played the second-, -third, and fourth-easiest schedules to date, according to the ESPN Power Index.

    You really can't trust any of these teams, even if they're all currently in playoff positions.

67 / 39

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    INGLEWOOD, CALIFORNIA - NOVEMBER 24: Saquon Barkley #26 of the Philadelphia Eagles runs for a touchdown during the third quarter against the Los Angeles Rams at SoFi Stadium on November 24, 2024 in Inglewood, California. (Photo by Ronald Martinez/Getty Images)
    Ronald Martinez/Getty Images

    The first number is the total amount of 20-yard plays the Philadelphia Eagles have produced on offense (ranking behind just three other units), while the second number is the total amount of 20-yard plays the Eagles have allowed on defense (only one other unit has surrendered fewer than 46).

    Nobody in football has put up more 40-yard plays than them (18) and they've give up just six (ahead of just three other units).

    The ability to put up splash play after splash play while significantly limiting splash plays allowed on the other side of the ball is a critical reason the Eagles have regained prime contender status in 2024.

    After all, they allowed 64 20-yard plays during that messy 2023 campaign.

    (Fun side stat in favor of the Packers: Every defense has surrendered at least five 40-yard gains except Green Bay's D, which has incredibly given up just one 40-yard play all season.)

2.99 / 2.97

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    DETROIT, MICHIGAN - DECEMBER 15: Jared Goff #16 of the Detroit Lions shakes hands with Josh Allen #17 of the Buffalo Bills after the Bills 48-42 win at Ford Field on December 15, 2024 in Detroit, Michigan. (Photo by Nic Antaya/Getty Images)
    Nic Antaya/Getty Images

    There are a lot of different statistical options to relay how dominant the Detroit Lions and Buffalo Bills have been this season, but let's focus on the underrated points per drive metric, in which Detroit ranks first at 2.99 and Buffalo ranks second at 2.97.

    Nobody else in the NFL has produced more than 2.80 points per drive, even the extremely explosive and high-scoring Ravens.

    Both Buffalo and Detroit rank in the top five in red-zone touchdown rate, the top seven in third-down conversions, the top six in yards per play, the top seven in turnover margin and the bottom five in turnovers.

    They're the only teams in football that have outscored their opponents by more than 9.0 points per game, and if often feels as though they're on a collision course to meet in what would be an epic Super Bowl matchup between two franchises that have never won the Vince Lombardi Trophy.

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