Super Bowl Odds 2025: Bold Box Score Predictions for Eagles vs. Chiefs

Zach Buckley@@ZachBuckleyNBAX.com LogoFeatured Columnist IVJanuary 28, 2025

Super Bowl Odds 2025: Bold Box Score Predictions for Eagles vs. Chiefs

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    Bleacher Report

    After 18 weeks of the regular season and three rounds of NFL playoff action, Super Bowl LIX is set.

    It looks like the football gods granted us a great one, too.

    It's the No. 1 seed from the AFC, the 15-win Kansas City Chiefs, and the No. 2 seed from the NFC, the 14-win Philadelphia Eagles. It's also a rematch of Super Bowl LVII, when these same two teams quartered by the same two signal-callers locked horns in an instant classic that featured 73 combined points and a tied score into the final 10 seconds.

    Oddsmakers expect another nail-biter, and given the quality of these clubs, it isn't hard to see why. Let's dive deeper into the matchup by laying out the latest lines from DraftKings Sportsbook and providing a bold box score prediction for each quarterback.

Super Bowl Schedule, Odds

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    NEW ORLEANS, LOUISIANA - JANUARY 21: Snow falls on Super Bowl LIX signage on the outside of Caesars Superdome on January 21, 2025 in New Orleans, Louisiana. A winter storm brought rare snowfall to the Southern states including Florida, Texas and New Orleans, shutting down schools and businesses and drawing out locals, many of whom had never seen snow before.  (Photo by Tyler Kaufman/Getty Images)
    Tyler Kaufman/Getty Images

    What: Super Bowl LIX

    When: Sunday, Feb. 9 at 6:30 p.m. ET

    Where: Caesars Superdome in New Orleans

    Who: Philadelphia Eagles vs. Kansas City Chiefs

    TV: Fox

    Point spread: Chiefs -1.5

    Over/under: 49.5

    Moneyline: Chiefs (-125; bet $125 to win $100); Eagles (+105; bet $100 to win $105)

Prediction: Jalen Hurts Rushes for 2 More TDs

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    PHILADELPHIA, PENNSYLVANIA - JANUARY 26: Jalen Hurts #1 of the Philadelphia Eagles throws a pass against the Washington Commanders during the second quarter in the NFC Championship Game at Lincoln Financial Field on January 26, 2025 in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania.  (Photo by Mitchell Leff/Getty Images)
    Mitchell Leff/Getty Images

    Opposing defenses could spend all of game week scheming up ways to stop explosive Eagles running back Saquon Barkley, and it still might not be enough. Unfortunately for them, that's also only half the battle of containing this ground game.

    Philly quarterback Jalen Hurts plays a big part in this rushing attack, too. In the NFC Championship, he needed just 10 carries to tally three rushing scores. Including the postseason, he's now up to 18 rushing scores in 18 games (one of which he exited during the first quarter).

    He'll draw a different kind of test against Kansas City's defense, which limited MVP candidate Josh Allen to 39 yards and no scores on 11 carries in the AFC Championship. Still, the Chiefs might put the bulk of their focus on containing Barkley and the dynamic receiving duo of A.J. Brown and DeVonta Smith, potentially freeing Hurts for another big game on the ground.

    If the Eagles are going to deny the Chiefs their shot at a historic third consecutive Super Bowl, they'll have to bring their absolute best. When this running game is operating at maximum efficiency—i.e., getting Hurts and Barkley going together—that's when they're hardest to handle. So, don't be surprised if Hurts finds his way to tally his fifth and then his sixth rushing score of this postseason.

Prediction: Patrick Mahomes Throws for 300+ Yards

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    KANSAS CITY, MISSOURI - JANUARY 26: Quarterback Patrick Mahomes #15 of the Kansas City Chiefs scrambles out of the pocket during the second half of the AFC Championship football game against the Buffalo Bills, at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium on January 26, 2025 in Kansas City, Missouri. (Photo by Brooke Sutton/Getty Images)
    Brooke Sutton/Getty Images

    Calling for 300-plus passing yards from Patrick Mahomes didn't always qualify as a bold prediction, but this aerial attack lacks its volume from yesteryear. His 3,928 passing yards this season were his fewest since becoming a full-time starter in 2018.

    Including the playoffs, he's played 18 games this season and only eclipsed 300 passing yards in three of them. His first two postseason tilts didn't even reach 250 yards. And now he's about to lock horns with a Philadelphia defense that allowed the fewest passing yards per game this season.

    So, why the optimism for such a monster game here? Because Mahomes magic is a thing, and Kansas City's offense has as many capable pass-catchers as it has all season. Xavier Worthy has been automatic of late (19 catches on his last 22 targets), Travis Kelce is Travis Kelce, and the supporting cast includes proven pros like DeAndre Hopkins, Hollywood Brown and JuJu Smith-Schuster.

    This could be a high-scoring game if the Chiefs can't bottle up the Eagles' rushing attack, and Kansas City can only squeeze so much out of its own ground game (Mahomes has the team's longest run this postseason at 15 yards). The Chiefs will need Mahomes to air it out early and often, and his track record suggests he'll be up for the task.


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